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7 continued (UK gov: moderate risk)

…Countries best placed to adapt are those that invest in ecosystem protection and restoration, and resilient and efficient food systems.

- - -

Low risk

5. There is a realistic possibility that some ecosystems (such as coral reefs in South East Asia and boreal forests) start to collapse from 2030, and others (rainforests and mangroves) start to collapse from 2050.

The above excerpted from the UK government’s PDF:
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/696e0eae719d837d69afc7de/National_security_assessment_-_global_biodiversity_loss__ecosystem_collapse_and_national_security.pdf

#climateDiary

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Jon lower-chance-of-Snowfield

@urlyman@mastodon.social replied · last week

…UK gov: high risk

4. Ecosystem degradation is occurring across all regions. Every critical ecosystem is on a pathway to collapse (irreversible loss of function beyond repair).

#climateDiary

Jon lower-chance-of-Snowfield

@urlyman@mastodon.social replied · last week

…UK gov: moderate risk

2. Cascading risks of ecosystem degradation are likely to include geopolitical instability, economic insecurity, conflict, migration and increased inter-state competition for resources.

6. All countries are exposed to the risks of ecosystem collapse within and beyond their borders. Some will be exposed sooner than others and are likely to act to secure their interests, particularly water and food security.

#climateDiary

Jon lower-chance-of-Snowfield

@urlyman@mastodon.social replied · last week

…UK gov: moderate risk

7. Without significant increases in UK food system and supply chain resilience, it is unlikely the UK would be able to maintain food security if ecosystem collapse drives geopolitical competition for food. The UK relies on imports for a proportion of both food and fertiliser and cannot currently produce enough food to feed its population based on current diets…

#climateDiary

@EF@mastodon.bsd.cafe replied · last week

@urlyman it was amazing wjat the country achieved dirong WWII regarding food production, diet and health. Appreciate there are other suggestions of going vegan but the country could survive although the choice and portion size would decrease. We're too used to convenience and 24/7 everything versus seasonal as nature intends it to be.

Jon lower-chance-of-Snowfield

@urlyman@mastodon.social replied · last week

@EF yep. I think people like Chris Smaje have analysis and ideas that meet the predicament.

That’s a long way for people to move their behaviour, including me. But we can go there with a plan https://mastodon.social/@urlyman/115671995353061541

Jon lower-chance-of-Snowfield

@urlyman@mastodon.social replied · last week

7 continued (UK gov: moderate risk)

…Countries best placed to adapt are those that invest in ecosystem protection and restoration, and resilient and efficient food systems.

- - -

Low risk

#climateDiary

View (PDF)

Jon lower-chance-of-Snowfield

@urlyman@mastodon.social replied · last week

…As a postscript to the above, I’ll just add that global heating of +1.5°C is arriving about 15 years ahead of the timing envisaged in 2015, and that AMOC collapse is maybe 100 years ahead of earlier analysis.

Perhaps we might like to wake *the fuck* up about how economics orthodoxy is nudging us more insistently off the table https://mastodon.social/@urlyman/113418176951770714

#degrowth
#climateDiary

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