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By the way, thank you for this amazing reporting!
If the US plan is for Iranians to rise up, then maybe they and Israel should strike fewer civilians.
They massacred an entire girls school in the opening salvos. Struck colleges and bombed targets in civilian neighborhoods sending scores of people running for their lives and filming it for all Iranians to see.
This is more likely to unite Iranians against the aggressors than foment a civil war.
@nullagent Mossad has pre-emptively identified the homes of leftists in Tehran. Bombing strikes that are specific for them so there will be less dissent in the new puppet leader to be installed
BREAKING: Video is emerging from scenes of joint Israel & US missile strikes on a civilian girls school in Iran.
63 Iranian children were killed at this one location with an additional 60 students wounded by US missiles.
Why the fuck are our tax dollars being used to massacre the kids at the Shajareh Tayyebeh girls' school?
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/least-24-girls-killed-us-strike-elementary-school-southern-iran
The Iranian response has been SWIFT!
In Bahrain, where the US Navy's 5th Fleet support facility was seen receiving multiple direct strikes to the base.
Trump claims the US's goal has been to decapite Iran's leadership. Its clear that has not been effective.
Iran simultaneously fired ballistic missiles at Israel, Bahrain, UAE, Qatar, Saudi, Kuwait ALL within ONE hour!
The strikes by Iran on US assets appear to be well planned and accurately targeted.
Fast moving ballastic missiles appear to my eyes to be hitting radar's and other CRITICAL air defense equipment.
Secondary waves of SLOW & CHEAP Iranian drones then immediately exploited these openings.
Additional footage from Bahrain's US Navy installation show this strategy clearly at work hitting AD radome.
Early this morning the US has been claiming "no American casualties" and that just sounds like utter bullshit after seeing this footage. Key to keep in mind is that many of these videos were filmed and uploaded by US personel. In some clips you can CLEARLY hear their disbelief & terror as missiles made it through air defense systems unstopped.
UPDATE - Yes it was bullshit 3 US troops KIA several others injured and Trump says to expect more KIAs
The strategic situation is also much more complex at this moment than many American's likely understand.
There's a LOT of Russian and Chinese military assets already in the area due to joint exercises they recently did in partnership with Iran.
They are not likely to kinetically interact with the US or Israel but are likely providing the exact same type of ISR feeds to Iran that the US fed Ukraine during the initial Russian attacks on Kyiv.
Iran is kinda OP right now.
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Literally just TWO days ago China was publicly flexing their ISR capability. On the 26th they published maps and photos of where the US's most valuable fighter jets were stationed.
The US flew hundreds of flights over the last week to move these fighter jets and their support crews into theater.
It's clear China has the ability to track US assets in near realtime and likely published these maps as a deterrent.
2 media
So I've been digging through the OSINT on the brewing US conflict on Iran for basically the last month and another aspect I've been keenly watching is the sale of Chinese made anti-ship missiles to Iran.
Having high quality missiles used to be unique to the US, but now EVERYONE has missiles.
And the problem is that missiles are a massive existential threat to US carrier groups.
So you gotta ask yourself...
If Iran (alone) can do THIS to a key strategic US Navy installation within ONE hour of US aggression. A base with world class air defense.... what fucking chance in hell do aircraft carriers have to stay in this fight for the long haul?
So lets all listen carefully to how the US media spins this, because if Iran can keep this up the US is gonna have a couple fewer military installations in short order.
Now of course ballistic and hypersonic missiles aren't everything, Iran's strategy still contains a TON of small missile attack boats designed to swarm US carriers.
The small boats have a mix of cheap multi-launch missile systems as well as high end anti-ship guided missiles(some can go 1000km!!).
They ALSO include anti-aircraft missiles so the can lay in wiat to interdict US aircraft on their way to Iran.
They have thousands of these water craft.
According to online reports, mariners transiting the Strait of Hormuz claim there have been radio announcements from the Iranian coast guard that they will begin closing the straight.
Iran has fired missiles towards several countries who host American military bases.
They generals state that they are currently using their oldest missiles for the initial response strikes and that their campaign will intensify and increase in quality as they begin pulling out their new technology.
This map is already a bit out of date I believe. From videos online it seems Israel's Haifa & Tel Aviv likely suffered direct strikes.
An aspect that the map above either was out of date for or willfully doesn't count is the reality that missile interceptors FREQUENTLY fail and will fall & deteonate on the civilians they were supposedly deployed to protect.
In Qatar an interceptor failed and didn't self destruct either. Civilians were forced to run for their lives.
The US media almost NEVER reports on this aspect of missile defense systems.
War harms civilians. Iran's response included strikes on targets clearly of strategic value but that will be condemned due to the presence of civilians.
One example is that Dubia's hotel district appears to have been hit be an Iranian drone.
Several angles show the drone striking near the Burj Khalifa(one such video below).
Other videos show damage to Kuwait Airport.
I think these strikes were designed to economically cripple anyone whose supporting or enabling the US and Israel.
It's also not just some tragedy. Its a DIRECT message to stop targetting the civilian leadership of the Iranian government.
The US KNEW targeting the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and President Masoud Pezeshkian would mean a "total war" response.
So Iran is willing to strike Dubai. A target valued by the world's top capitalist.
Trump literally just tried to KILL the civilian leadership of a foreign nation with NO congressional approval at all!
For the US, by its own rules, this entire operation was illegal from this first missile fired.
So while I call it like I see it, "Iran hit civilians", its hard as fuck to think that justifies ANYTHING America and Israel is doing right now.
I think the US and Israel should leave Iran the fuck alone and stop fucking around.
So I pray that the US military has the exact same take as this sailor whose video is going viral this morning.
"Oh fuck we gotta get outta here"
So its now night time in Bahrain and the Iranian drones are NOT letting up.
It's going to take time to review these more carefully.
A thing to know about the US Navy in Bahrain is that they don't have on base housing.
This means basically the most hated military target in one of the most critical locations disperses it's military force among the civilian populace ON purpose to make them hard to target without harming civilians.
I suspect we're seeing Iran taking that gamble.
The Iranian missile strikes are ALSO unrelenting in Bahrain tonight.
They have continued to hit the US military base with missiles.
There's growing chatter of a full blown US air defense failure in multiple countries right now. Again, going to take time to understand as an OSINT nerd but this seems like US AD is overwhelmed.
They may still be making a lot of intercepts when you understand the volume of fire coming from Iran ...
And that's the rub.
If this is an air war, the US is "supposed" to dominate.
Earlier in the day US missiles were seen pounding Iran's mountain missile bases and various storage facilities.
The fact Iran's making strikes tonight means there's NO meaningful impact to Iran's offensive capabilities.
Again, it's likely some AD is still working in and near Bahrain and we're only seeing the 10% or whatever rate of missiles and drones that make it through.
Iran's still operating as normal I think
Qatar is also suffering notable air defense failures.
This video is VERY interesting. In it we see an Iranian ballistical missile just plain out maneuvering TWO missile intercepters and scoring a direct hit on a US base. Likely further degrading their air defense capabilities.
That last interceptor in-particular was just late as fuck. This looked like a severe speed over-match or something.
Iran is UNRELENTING tonight.
What's that buzz?
Oh just ANOTHER $30k Iranian drone striking the US Navy HQ in Bahrain unopposed.
I see my Black friends waking up to the Iran news rn.
Pretty much universal take at the moment.
On a social level... I can't help but notice the videos filmed by english speaking westerners are clearly upset seeing US bases hit. They're running and crying for cover.
Meanwhile, I don't speak Arabic or Persian(maybe someone can help us out), but I can't help but notice the Bahrain videos posted by non-english speakers are far more calm, not taking cover, don't seem frantic.
I could be mistaken but they kinda seem to be cheering in some. Kinda feel like not everybody's sad about this.
Nah, I'm not imagining it lmao.
The Bahrain locals are cheering everytime the US base is hit tonight.
And from the absolute torrent of strikes I'm seeing tonight I think they all gonna loose their voices tonight 😅
US looking cooked in Bahrain.
Iran's strikes in the last 12 hours targeted at least:
🇧🇭#Bahrain
• Al-Juffair Base
• U.S. Fifth Fleet Command Center
🇶🇦#Qatar
• Al-Udeid Air Base
🇦🇪United Arab Emirates #UAE
• Al-Dhafra Air Base
• Jebel Ali Port
• Fujairah Air Base
🇸🇦#SaudiArabia:
• Prince Sultan Air Base in Riyadh
• Tabuk Base
• Khamis Mushait Base
• A western base in Jeddah
🇯🇴#Jordan:
• Muwaffaq Salti Air Base
🇮🇶#Iraq:
• U.S. base in Erbil
🇰🇼#Kuwait:
• Arifjan Camp
• Ahmad Al-Jaber Air Base
• Mubarak Air Base
A second angle filmed by US troops has emerged showing the strike on the base in Qatar which houses CENTCOM.
#Bahrain continues to have reports of drone strikes. There's currently so many angles of missiles and drones mid-flight that I'm struggling to de-duplicate them to determine which are verifiable new strikes.
Some of the first locations hit in Bahrain could be seen burning through the night with little to no fire first responders active due to the continued risk of follow on strikes.
The locals laugh about that apartment building burning down. Looks like a total loss.
Tel Aviv was not spared.
Zionist occupying Palestine report that there's been a wave of Iranian missiles roughly every thirty minutes over night.
There's now several different reports of Iranian missiles hitting targets on the ground in Tel Aviv, again demonstrating a massive speed overmatch versus existing air defense systems.
On the ground footage in Tel Aviv shows extensive collateral damage to city blocks.
Much like the Bahrain apartment building, it's too early to know if there was a military target in the area.
To my eyes both sides Iran & Israel have previously and currently been acting on targeting intelligence that revealed high value military targets in civilian areas. It took a lot of time for public OSINT to catch up. I think we're seeing some of that rn
I'll be interested to see what's still standing on US bases in the next two days.
The last time Israel attacked Iran it cost around $1 billion dollars to defend Israel from Iran's $80M missile response.
I think we might be watching a couple BILLION in US assets going up in smoke tonight.
The radar systems in Bahrain alone, which Iran likely damaged/destroyed, are worth $1B. The US likely fired nearly $1B of missile interceptors as well over night.
@nullagent I expect the current US administration to support the Iranian protestors the same way they treated the Kurds (broken promises of support followed by a full betrayal of an alliance).
It's so frustrating, ppl are so busy and burned out fighting ICE and atracks on queer communities, the attack on Iran may not get the public pushback it deserves and needs.
Seriously if people are tired out over, what are the baby steps of totalitarianism, we are completely lost.
People need to wake up to what populations in Europe had to deal with for years and years
@GhostOnTheHalfShell @nullagent Millions of Americans are dead from covid, tens of millions more have long covid. This has greatly impacted the ability for activists to work and organize. Lots of folx are unable to engage in ways they used to. Add that to burnout from protesting for the past decade, and organizing has taken a big hit. It's not a matter of "waking up" or a lack of awareness, rather of recently disabled people being left behind, and unable to support those who can act.
#longcovid
Oh absolutely, Iranians who side with the US will see their ideals be betrayed. because this has nothing to do with the philosophy of freedom and everything to do with energy resources.
@nullagent Asking Iranians to fight for Israel and the US? To fight for two nations both themselves growing theocracies?
Surely Trump no more believes in say, women's rights in Iran than he does in women's rights inside the US.