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The going debate in OSINT spaces seems to be around just how many drones and missiles does Iran have versus the US's intercetpors and replacement parts for early warning radars?
So far its sounds like the US+Israel has weeks of missile interceptors but Iran has MONTHS worth of missiles and drones.
So if some sort of ceasefire is not reached these drone strikes day and night all over the region could become routine.
By the way, thank you for this amazing reporting!
If the US plan is for Iranians to rise up, then maybe they and Israel should strike fewer civilians.
They massacred an entire girls school in the opening salvos. Struck colleges and bombed targets in civilian neighborhoods sending scores of people running for their lives and filming it for all Iranians to see.
This is more likely to unite Iranians against the aggressors than foment a civil war.
@nullagent Mossad has pre-emptively identified the homes of leftists in Tehran. Bombing strikes that are specific for them so there will be less dissent in the new puppet leader to be installed
BREAKING: Video is emerging from scenes of joint Israel & US missile strikes on a civilian girls school in Iran.
63 Iranian children were killed at this one location with an additional 60 students wounded by US missiles.
Why the fuck are our tax dollars being used to massacre the kids at the Shajareh Tayyebeh girls' school?
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/least-24-girls-killed-us-strike-elementary-school-southern-iran
The Iranian response has been SWIFT!
In Bahrain, where the US Navy's 5th Fleet support facility was seen receiving multiple direct strikes to the base.
Trump claims the US's goal has been to decapite Iran's leadership. Its clear that has not been effective.
Iran simultaneously fired ballistic missiles at Israel, Bahrain, UAE, Qatar, Saudi, Kuwait ALL within ONE hour!
The strikes by Iran on US assets appear to be well planned and accurately targeted.
Fast moving ballastic missiles appear to my eyes to be hitting radar's and other CRITICAL air defense equipment.
Secondary waves of SLOW & CHEAP Iranian drones then immediately exploited these openings.
Additional footage from Bahrain's US Navy installation show this strategy clearly at work hitting AD radome.
Early this morning the US has been claiming "no American casualties" and that just sounds like utter bullshit after seeing this footage. Key to keep in mind is that many of these videos were filmed and uploaded by US personel. In some clips you can CLEARLY hear their disbelief & terror as missiles made it through air defense systems unstopped.
UPDATE - Yes it was bullshit 3 US troops KIA several others injured and Trump says to expect more KIAs
The strategic situation is also much more complex at this moment than many American's likely understand.
There's a LOT of Russian and Chinese military assets already in the area due to joint exercises they recently did in partnership with Iran.
They are not likely to kinetically interact with the US or Israel but are likely providing the exact same type of ISR feeds to Iran that the US fed Ukraine during the initial Russian attacks on Kyiv.
Iran is kinda OP right now.
@nullagent I expect the current US administration to support the Iranian protestors the same way they treated the Kurds (broken promises of support followed by a full betrayal of an alliance).
It's so frustrating, ppl are so busy and burned out fighting ICE and atracks on queer communities, the attack on Iran may not get the public pushback it deserves and needs.
Seriously if people are tired out over, what are the baby steps of totalitarianism, we are completely lost.
People need to wake up to what populations in Europe had to deal with for years and years
@GhostOnTheHalfShell @nullagent Millions of Americans are dead from covid, tens of millions more have long covid. This has greatly impacted the ability for activists to work and organize. Lots of folx are unable to engage in ways they used to. Add that to burnout from protesting for the past decade, and organizing has taken a big hit. It's not a matter of "waking up" or a lack of awareness, rather of recently disabled people being left behind, and unable to support those who can act.
#longcovid
Oh absolutely, Iranians who side with the US will see their ideals be betrayed. because this has nothing to do with the philosophy of freedom and everything to do with energy resources.
@nullagent Asking Iranians to fight for Israel and the US? To fight for two nations both themselves growing theocracies?
Surely Trump no more believes in say, women's rights in Iran than he does in women's rights inside the US.
