WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST — #philly #weather #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx #snowstorm
Snow Tapering Off
The storm is well to our east and the vertical motion (Omega) near and west of Philadelphia has turned to a downward motion. Snow continues to rotate around the low into the city from the northeast along the 700 mb ... https://theweatherguy.net/
Morning Mastodonians!
And here I thought I was sick of #snow before! It’s only about halfway through this nor’easter, and we have probably a foot and a half of snow. I did something I don’t usually do: went out and shoveled before the storm ended. My little electric snowblower can’t handle the amount of predicted snow, so working on it halfway might help. But the wind is howling, and it’s probably going to drift up anyway. At least the dogs can get out the back door right now.
#blizzard2026
@jdarnold we got about 12" here in #Doylestown #BucksCounty #PA #phillywx in #Doylestown #BucksCounty #PA #PhillyWx
WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST — #philly #weather #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx #snowstorm
Snow Tapering Off
The storm is well to our east and the vertical motion (Omega) near and west of Philadelphia has turned to a downward motion. Snow continues to rotate around the low into the city from the northeast along the 700 mb ... https://theweatherguy.net/
WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST — #philly #weather #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx #snowstorm
Storm Update
Folks, I violated my own cardinal rule- "never look at the new model runs when the storm is in progress".
The reason: it always changes and you never know if it's a dramatic .. https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=26191
WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST — #philly #weather #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx #snowstorm
Storm Update
Folks, I violated my own cardinal rule- "never look at the new model runs when the storm is in progress".
The reason: it always changes and you never know if it's a dramatic .. https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=26191
Well, the Canadian models, the CMC synoptic and RGEM mesoscale model both shifted east to take I-95 out of any jackpot zone but are still big hits at the Jersey Shore.
WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST — #philly #weather #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx #snowstorm
Final Storm Thoughts for this Evening
The snow totals forecast I heard on TV this evening was 8-12 inches. A reasonable number, and depending on how much precipitation falls before 4 PM may make that the correct forecast. However, the latest NBM still shows higher median snow totals as shown earlier. .. https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=26191
Honestly, I'm looking at mesoscale models I never really look at, trying to find one that doesn't show at least a foot of snow along I-95 and I can't find one. Just not seeing any sign right now of a huge bust.
Just saw a hi-res look at the NAM 3K snow map...there's an area of 30"+ snowfall through northern Ocean County, NJ. And while Trenton-Mercer comes in at 20.2", verbatim, a few miles east where I am is at 23". That's my target number, as I remember measuring 22" as a kid during the Blizzard of '78.
I don't smoke, but even I feel like I need a cigarette after that 00z NAM run. Graphics in a minute...need to check my vitals.
WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST — #philly #weather #pawx #philadelphia #phillywx #snowstorm
Final Storm Thoughts for this Evening
The snow totals forecast I heard on TV this evening was 8-12 inches. A reasonable number, and depending on how much precipitation falls before 4 PM may make that the correct forecast. However, the latest NBM still shows higher median snow totals as shown earlier. .. https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=26191
00z model run thread...HRRR coming in now...rain starts to change to snow around the Jersey Shore as early as 2 p.m. here and all of NJ goes to snow by 4 p.m. This is an hour or two earlier than I've heard some meteorologists say, so be prepared.