Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
320 PM EST Wed Dec 24 2025

Valid 00Z Thu Dec 25 2025 - 00Z Sat Dec 27 2025

...Life-threatening flash flooding continues over Southern California
today and tomorrow; heavy mountain snow and high winds also ongoing...

...Impactful wintry weather to spread from the Upper Midwest into the
Mid-Atlantic/Northeast Friday...

...Unseasonable, record breaking warm weather continues across the
Nation's mid-section through Christmas into this weekend...

This afternoon, an analysis of our weather pattern across the Lower 48
highlights an anomalous mid-level high pressure ridge anchored over the
Nation's Heartland, which is flanked by an equally amplified trough over
the Eastern Pacific. Unfortunately, this configuration will maintain
life-threatening atmospheric river conditions focused over Southern
California through Christmas day, where widespread flash flooding is
underway amid persistent 0.5" to 1"/hour rainfall rates. Accordingly, a
rare High Risk of Excessive Rainfall remains in effect through tomorrow
morning over Southern California, which includes the Los Angeles
metropolitan area. Flash/urban flooding aside, the barrage of heavy
rainfall will also lead to dangerous rock/mud slides across Southern
California through Christmas day. Users in the affected area are
encouraged to have multiple ways of receiving warning information, NEVER
drive through flooded roads, and be aware that the threshold for
Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 320 PM EST Wed Dec 24 2025 Valid 00Z Thu Dec 25 2025 - 00Z Sat Dec 27 2025 ...Life-threatening flash flooding continues over Southern California today and tomorrow; heavy mountain snow and high winds also ongoing... ...Impactful wintry weather to spread from the Upper Midwest into the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast Friday... ...Unseasonable, record breaking warm weather continues across the Nation's mid-section through Christmas into this weekend... This afternoon, an analysis of our weather pattern across the Lower 48 highlights an anomalous mid-level high pressure ridge anchored over the Nation's Heartland, which is flanked by an equally amplified trough over the Eastern Pacific. Unfortunately, this configuration will maintain life-threatening atmospheric river conditions focused over Southern California through Christmas day, where widespread flash flooding is underway amid persistent 0.5" to 1"/hour rainfall rates. Accordingly, a rare High Risk of Excessive Rainfall remains in effect through tomorrow morning over Southern California, which includes the Los Angeles metropolitan area. Flash/urban flooding aside, the barrage of heavy rainfall will also lead to dangerous rock/mud slides across Southern California through Christmas day. Users in the affected area are encouraged to have multiple ways of receiving warning information, NEVER drive through flooded roads, and be aware that the threshold for
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
320 PM EST Wed Dec 24 2025

Valid 00Z Thu Dec 25 2025 - 00Z Sat Dec 27 2025

...Life-threatening flash flooding continues over Southern California
today and tomorrow; heavy mountain snow and high winds also ongoing...

...Impactful wintry weather to spread from the Upper Midwest into the
Mid-Atlantic/Northeast Friday...

...Unseasonable, record breaking warm weather continues across the
Nation's mid-section through Christmas into this weekend...

This afternoon, an analysis of our weather pattern across the Lower 48
highlights an anomalous mid-level high pressure ridge anchored over the
Nation's Heartland, which is flanked by an equally amplified trough over
the Eastern Pacific. Unfortunately, this configuration will maintain
life-threatening atmospheric river conditions focused over Southern
California through Christmas day, where widespread flash flooding is
underway amid persistent 0.5" to 1"/hour rainfall rates. Accordingly, a
rare High Risk of Excessive Rainfall remains in effect through tomorrow
morning over Southern California, which includes the Los Angeles
metropolitan area. Flash/urban flooding aside, the barrage of heavy
rainfall will also lead to dangerous rock/mud slides across Southern
California through Christmas day. Users in the affected area are
encouraged to have multiple ways of receiving warning information, NEVER
drive through flooded roads, and be aware that the threshold for
Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 320 PM EST Wed Dec 24 2025 Valid 00Z Thu Dec 25 2025 - 00Z Sat Dec 27 2025 ...Life-threatening flash flooding continues over Southern California today and tomorrow; heavy mountain snow and high winds also ongoing... ...Impactful wintry weather to spread from the Upper Midwest into the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast Friday... ...Unseasonable, record breaking warm weather continues across the Nation's mid-section through Christmas into this weekend... This afternoon, an analysis of our weather pattern across the Lower 48 highlights an anomalous mid-level high pressure ridge anchored over the Nation's Heartland, which is flanked by an equally amplified trough over the Eastern Pacific. Unfortunately, this configuration will maintain life-threatening atmospheric river conditions focused over Southern California through Christmas day, where widespread flash flooding is underway amid persistent 0.5" to 1"/hour rainfall rates. Accordingly, a rare High Risk of Excessive Rainfall remains in effect through tomorrow morning over Southern California, which includes the Los Angeles metropolitan area. Flash/urban flooding aside, the barrage of heavy rainfall will also lead to dangerous rock/mud slides across Southern California through Christmas day. Users in the affected area are encouraged to have multiple ways of receiving warning information, NEVER drive through flooded roads, and be aware that the threshold for
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
138 AM EST Wed Dec 24 2025

Valid 12Z Wed Dec 24 2025 - 12Z Fri Dec 26 2025

...There is a High Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of Southern
California on Wednesday...

...Moderate to heavy snow over the Northeast and Sierra Nevada Mountains...

...Rain/freezing rain possible over the Pennsylvania and Great Lakes...

A system moving off the Northeast Coast by Wednesday morning will have a
front lingering across the Southeast through Friday. Moisture streaming
northward out of the Gulf will aid in developing rain over parts of the
Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through Wednesday afternoon.

A wave of low pressure will develop over parts of the Middle Mississippi
Valley and move eastward into the Ohio Valley/Central Appalachians by
Thursday morning. The system will usher in rain over parts of the
Mid-Atlantic by Christmas morning. Along the northern edge of the
precipitation shield, pockets of rain/freezing rain will develop over
parts of the Great Lakes and Northern Mid-Atlantic overnight Christmas Eve
into Christmas Day. In addition, as the low moves away from New England,
moderate to heavy snow will develop over New England through Wednesday
Afternoon. Snow will continue over the Northeast on Christmas.

On Wednesday, moisture and upper-level impulses from the Pacific will
stream eastward over the Pacific Northwest/Northern California, as a front
moves inland over the West Coast. The system will prod
Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 138 AM EST Wed Dec 24 2025 Valid 12Z Wed Dec 24 2025 - 12Z Fri Dec 26 2025 ...There is a High Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of Southern California on Wednesday... ...Moderate to heavy snow over the Northeast and Sierra Nevada Mountains... ...Rain/freezing rain possible over the Pennsylvania and Great Lakes... A system moving off the Northeast Coast by Wednesday morning will have a front lingering across the Southeast through Friday. Moisture streaming northward out of the Gulf will aid in developing rain over parts of the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through Wednesday afternoon. A wave of low pressure will develop over parts of the Middle Mississippi Valley and move eastward into the Ohio Valley/Central Appalachians by Thursday morning. The system will usher in rain over parts of the Mid-Atlantic by Christmas morning. Along the northern edge of the precipitation shield, pockets of rain/freezing rain will develop over parts of the Great Lakes and Northern Mid-Atlantic overnight Christmas Eve into Christmas Day. In addition, as the low moves away from New England, moderate to heavy snow will develop over New England through Wednesday Afternoon. Snow will continue over the Northeast on Christmas. On Wednesday, moisture and upper-level impulses from the Pacific will stream eastward over the Pacific Northwest/Northern California, as a front moves inland over the West Coast. The system will prod
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
138 AM EST Wed Dec 24 2025

Valid 12Z Wed Dec 24 2025 - 12Z Fri Dec 26 2025

...There is a High Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of Southern
California on Wednesday...

...Moderate to heavy snow over the Northeast and Sierra Nevada Mountains...

...Rain/freezing rain possible over the Pennsylvania and Great Lakes...

A system moving off the Northeast Coast by Wednesday morning will have a
front lingering across the Southeast through Friday. Moisture streaming
northward out of the Gulf will aid in developing rain over parts of the
Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through Wednesday afternoon.

A wave of low pressure will develop over parts of the Middle Mississippi
Valley and move eastward into the Ohio Valley/Central Appalachians by
Thursday morning. The system will usher in rain over parts of the
Mid-Atlantic by Christmas morning. Along the northern edge of the
precipitation shield, pockets of rain/freezing rain will develop over
parts of the Great Lakes and Northern Mid-Atlantic overnight Christmas Eve
into Christmas Day. In addition, as the low moves away from New England,
moderate to heavy snow will develop over New England through Wednesday
Afternoon. Snow will continue over the Northeast on Christmas.

On Wednesday, moisture and upper-level impulses from the Pacific will
stream eastward over the Pacific Northwest/Northern California, as a front
moves inland over the West Coast. The system will prod
Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 138 AM EST Wed Dec 24 2025 Valid 12Z Wed Dec 24 2025 - 12Z Fri Dec 26 2025 ...There is a High Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of Southern California on Wednesday... ...Moderate to heavy snow over the Northeast and Sierra Nevada Mountains... ...Rain/freezing rain possible over the Pennsylvania and Great Lakes... A system moving off the Northeast Coast by Wednesday morning will have a front lingering across the Southeast through Friday. Moisture streaming northward out of the Gulf will aid in developing rain over parts of the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through Wednesday afternoon. A wave of low pressure will develop over parts of the Middle Mississippi Valley and move eastward into the Ohio Valley/Central Appalachians by Thursday morning. The system will usher in rain over parts of the Mid-Atlantic by Christmas morning. Along the northern edge of the precipitation shield, pockets of rain/freezing rain will develop over parts of the Great Lakes and Northern Mid-Atlantic overnight Christmas Eve into Christmas Day. In addition, as the low moves away from New England, moderate to heavy snow will develop over New England through Wednesday Afternoon. Snow will continue over the Northeast on Christmas. On Wednesday, moisture and upper-level impulses from the Pacific will stream eastward over the Pacific Northwest/Northern California, as a front moves inland over the West Coast. The system will prod
Flash Flood Warning issued December 24 at 7:04AM PST until December 24 at 12:00PM PST by NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard CAFFWLOX

The National Weather Service in Los Angeles/Oxnard has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Northwestern Los Angeles County in southwestern California...
Northeastern Ventura County in southwestern California...

* Until noon PST.

* At 704 AM PST, local law enforcement reported heavy rain,
rockslides, mudslides, and washed out roadways across the warned
area. Flash flooding is ongoing.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing
flash flooding including mudslides, rockslides,
landslides, and washed out roadways.

SOURCE...Law enforcement reported.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Santa Clarita, eastern Lockwood Valley, Pyramid Lake, Interstate 5
over the Grapevine, Castaic Lake, Lake Piru, Gorman, Highway 138
between Quail Lake and Lancaster, Alamo Mountain and Frazier
Mountain.
Flash Flood Warning issued December 24 at 7:04AM PST until December 24 at 12:00PM PST by NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard CAFFWLOX The National Weather Service in Los Angeles/Oxnard has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Northwestern Los Angeles County in southwestern California... Northeastern Ventura County in southwestern California... * Until noon PST. * At 704 AM PST, local law enforcement reported heavy rain, rockslides, mudslides, and washed out roadways across the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing flash flooding including mudslides, rockslides, landslides, and washed out roadways. SOURCE...Law enforcement reported. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Santa Clarita, eastern Lockwood Valley, Pyramid Lake, Interstate 5 over the Grapevine, Castaic Lake, Lake Piru, Gorman, Highway 138 between Quail Lake and Lancaster, Alamo Mountain and Frazier Mountain.
Flash Flood Warning issued December 24 at 7:18AM PST until December 24 at 10:30AM PST by NWS Hanford CAFFWHNX

The National Weather Service in Hanford has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Central Fresno County in central California...
Central Madera County in central California...

* Until 1030 AM PST.

* At 718 AM PST, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the
warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Clovis, Hurley, Auberry and Shaver Lake.

This includes the following streams and drainages...
San Joaquin River, Whisky Creek, Big Sandy Creek, Bald Mill Creek,
Sycamore Creek, Carter Creek, Fine Gold Creek, Willow Creek,
Ciatana Creek, Fish Creek, Dog Creek and North Fork Little Dry
Creek.
Flash Flood Warning issued December 24 at 7:18AM PST until December 24 at 10:30AM PST by NWS Hanford CAFFWHNX The National Weather Service in Hanford has extended the * Flash Flood Warning for... Central Fresno County in central California... Central Madera County in central California... * Until 1030 AM PST. * At 718 AM PST, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by heavy rain. SOURCE...Radar. IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor drainage and low-lying areas. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Clovis, Hurley, Auberry and Shaver Lake. This includes the following streams and drainages... San Joaquin River, Whisky Creek, Big Sandy Creek, Bald Mill Creek, Sycamore Creek, Carter Creek, Fine Gold Creek, Willow Creek, Ciatana Creek, Fish Creek, Dog Creek and North Fork Little Dry Creek.
Flash Flood Warning issued December 24 at 7:18AM PST until December 24 at 10:30AM PST by NWS Hanford CAFFWHNX

The National Weather Service in Hanford has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Central Fresno County in central California...
Central Madera County in central California...

* Until 1030 AM PST.

* At 718 AM PST, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the
warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by heavy rain.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Clovis, Hurley, Auberry and Shaver Lake.

This includes the following streams and drainages...
San Joaquin River, Whisky Creek, Big Sandy Creek, Bald Mill Creek,
Sycamore Creek, Carter Creek, Fine Gold Creek, Willow Creek,
Ciatana Creek, Fish Creek, Dog Creek and North Fork Little Dry
Creek.
Flash Flood Warning issued December 24 at 7:18AM PST until December 24 at 10:30AM PST by NWS Hanford CAFFWHNX The National Weather Service in Hanford has extended the * Flash Flood Warning for... Central Fresno County in central California... Central Madera County in central California... * Until 1030 AM PST. * At 718 AM PST, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by heavy rain. SOURCE...Radar. IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor drainage and low-lying areas. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Clovis, Hurley, Auberry and Shaver Lake. This includes the following streams and drainages... San Joaquin River, Whisky Creek, Big Sandy Creek, Bald Mill Creek, Sycamore Creek, Carter Creek, Fine Gold Creek, Willow Creek, Ciatana Creek, Fish Creek, Dog Creek and North Fork Little Dry Creek.
Flash Flood Warning issued December 24 at 7:04AM PST until December 24 at 12:00PM PST by NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard CAFFWLOX

The National Weather Service in Los Angeles/Oxnard has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Northwestern Los Angeles County in southwestern California...
Northeastern Ventura County in southwestern California...

* Until noon PST.

* At 704 AM PST, local law enforcement reported heavy rain,
rockslides, mudslides, and washed out roadways across the warned
area. Flash flooding is ongoing.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing
flash flooding including mudslides, rockslides,
landslides, and washed out roadways.

SOURCE...Law enforcement reported.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Santa Clarita, eastern Lockwood Valley, Pyramid Lake, Interstate 5
over the Grapevine, Castaic Lake, Lake Piru, Gorman, Highway 138
between Quail Lake and Lancaster, Alamo Mountain and Frazier
Mountain.
Flash Flood Warning issued December 24 at 7:04AM PST until December 24 at 12:00PM PST by NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard CAFFWLOX The National Weather Service in Los Angeles/Oxnard has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Northwestern Los Angeles County in southwestern California... Northeastern Ventura County in southwestern California... * Until noon PST. * At 704 AM PST, local law enforcement reported heavy rain, rockslides, mudslides, and washed out roadways across the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing flash flooding including mudslides, rockslides, landslides, and washed out roadways. SOURCE...Law enforcement reported. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Santa Clarita, eastern Lockwood Valley, Pyramid Lake, Interstate 5 over the Grapevine, Castaic Lake, Lake Piru, Gorman, Highway 138 between Quail Lake and Lancaster, Alamo Mountain and Frazier Mountain.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
138 AM EST Wed Dec 24 2025

Valid 12Z Wed Dec 24 2025 - 12Z Fri Dec 26 2025

...There is a High Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of Southern
California on Wednesday...

...Moderate to heavy snow over the Northeast and Sierra Nevada Mountains...

...Rain/freezing rain possible over the Pennsylvania and Great Lakes...

A system moving off the Northeast Coast by Wednesday morning will have a
front lingering across the Southeast through Friday. Moisture streaming
northward out of the Gulf will aid in developing rain over parts of the
Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through Wednesday afternoon.

A wave of low pressure will develop over parts of the Middle Mississippi
Valley and move eastward into the Ohio Valley/Central Appalachians by
Thursday morning. The system will usher in rain over parts of the
Mid-Atlantic by Christmas morning. Along the northern edge of the
precipitation shield, pockets of rain/freezing rain will develop over
parts of the Great Lakes and Northern Mid-Atlantic overnight Christmas Eve
into Christmas Day. In addition, as the low moves away from New England,
moderate to heavy snow will develop over New England through Wednesday
Afternoon. Snow will continue over the Northeast on Christmas.

On Wednesday, moisture and upper-level impulses from the Pacific will
stream eastward over the Pacific Northwest/Northern California, as a front
moves inland over the West Coast. The system will prod
Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 138 AM EST Wed Dec 24 2025 Valid 12Z Wed Dec 24 2025 - 12Z Fri Dec 26 2025 ...There is a High Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of Southern California on Wednesday... ...Moderate to heavy snow over the Northeast and Sierra Nevada Mountains... ...Rain/freezing rain possible over the Pennsylvania and Great Lakes... A system moving off the Northeast Coast by Wednesday morning will have a front lingering across the Southeast through Friday. Moisture streaming northward out of the Gulf will aid in developing rain over parts of the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through Wednesday afternoon. A wave of low pressure will develop over parts of the Middle Mississippi Valley and move eastward into the Ohio Valley/Central Appalachians by Thursday morning. The system will usher in rain over parts of the Mid-Atlantic by Christmas morning. Along the northern edge of the precipitation shield, pockets of rain/freezing rain will develop over parts of the Great Lakes and Northern Mid-Atlantic overnight Christmas Eve into Christmas Day. In addition, as the low moves away from New England, moderate to heavy snow will develop over New England through Wednesday Afternoon. Snow will continue over the Northeast on Christmas. On Wednesday, moisture and upper-level impulses from the Pacific will stream eastward over the Pacific Northwest/Northern California, as a front moves inland over the West Coast. The system will prod
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
138 AM EST Wed Dec 24 2025

Valid 12Z Wed Dec 24 2025 - 12Z Fri Dec 26 2025

...There is a High Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of Southern
California on Wednesday...

...Moderate to heavy snow over the Northeast and Sierra Nevada Mountains...

...Rain/freezing rain possible over the Pennsylvania and Great Lakes...

A system moving off the Northeast Coast by Wednesday morning will have a
front lingering across the Southeast through Friday. Moisture streaming
northward out of the Gulf will aid in developing rain over parts of the
Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through Wednesday afternoon.

A wave of low pressure will develop over parts of the Middle Mississippi
Valley and move eastward into the Ohio Valley/Central Appalachians by
Thursday morning. The system will usher in rain over parts of the
Mid-Atlantic by Christmas morning. Along the northern edge of the
precipitation shield, pockets of rain/freezing rain will develop over
parts of the Great Lakes and Northern Mid-Atlantic overnight Christmas Eve
into Christmas Day. In addition, as the low moves away from New England,
moderate to heavy snow will develop over New England through Wednesday
Afternoon. Snow will continue over the Northeast on Christmas.

On Wednesday, moisture and upper-level impulses from the Pacific will
stream eastward over the Pacific Northwest/Northern California, as a front
moves inland over the West Coast. The system will prod
Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 138 AM EST Wed Dec 24 2025 Valid 12Z Wed Dec 24 2025 - 12Z Fri Dec 26 2025 ...There is a High Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of Southern California on Wednesday... ...Moderate to heavy snow over the Northeast and Sierra Nevada Mountains... ...Rain/freezing rain possible over the Pennsylvania and Great Lakes... A system moving off the Northeast Coast by Wednesday morning will have a front lingering across the Southeast through Friday. Moisture streaming northward out of the Gulf will aid in developing rain over parts of the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys through Wednesday afternoon. A wave of low pressure will develop over parts of the Middle Mississippi Valley and move eastward into the Ohio Valley/Central Appalachians by Thursday morning. The system will usher in rain over parts of the Mid-Atlantic by Christmas morning. Along the northern edge of the precipitation shield, pockets of rain/freezing rain will develop over parts of the Great Lakes and Northern Mid-Atlantic overnight Christmas Eve into Christmas Day. In addition, as the low moves away from New England, moderate to heavy snow will develop over New England through Wednesday Afternoon. Snow will continue over the Northeast on Christmas. On Wednesday, moisture and upper-level impulses from the Pacific will stream eastward over the Pacific Northwest/Northern California, as a front moves inland over the West Coast. The system will prod
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
333 PM EST Tue Dec 23 2025

Valid 00Z Wed Dec 24 2025 - 00Z Fri Dec 26 2025

...Strong atmospheric river brings heavy rain, snow, and wind to
California through Friday...

...Moderate to heavy snow continues over New England today; freezing rain
possible along the Northern Tier Thursday...

...Unseasonable warmth forecast for much of the Lower 48 through Christmas
Day...

Across the Lower 48, much of our weather pattern remains dominated by an
anomalous upper-ridge anchored over the Nation's Heartland and a highly
amplified trough upstream over the Eastern Pacific. This configuration is
expected to persist through the end of the work week, in turn supporting
dangerous atmospheric river conditions across California through Friday.
To address the heavy rainfall forecast first, the threat of particularly
heavy rainfall is expected to increase over Southern California (including
the Los Angeles metro) late tonight ahead of a deepening low pressure
wave. By tomorrow morning, a rare High Risk of Excessive Rainfall is in
effect for Southern California, where widespread 4-7" rainfall totals
(locally upwards of 9") is expected over an 18 hour time period. Remember,
WPC High Risk days are a BIG DEAL: 80% of all flood related damages and
30% of all flood related fatalities occur in High Risk areas. Users in
these areas are encouraged to remain vigilant as landslides, rockfalls,
and mudslides are also anticipa
Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 333 PM EST Tue Dec 23 2025 Valid 00Z Wed Dec 24 2025 - 00Z Fri Dec 26 2025 ...Strong atmospheric river brings heavy rain, snow, and wind to California through Friday... ...Moderate to heavy snow continues over New England today; freezing rain possible along the Northern Tier Thursday... ...Unseasonable warmth forecast for much of the Lower 48 through Christmas Day... Across the Lower 48, much of our weather pattern remains dominated by an anomalous upper-ridge anchored over the Nation's Heartland and a highly amplified trough upstream over the Eastern Pacific. This configuration is expected to persist through the end of the work week, in turn supporting dangerous atmospheric river conditions across California through Friday. To address the heavy rainfall forecast first, the threat of particularly heavy rainfall is expected to increase over Southern California (including the Los Angeles metro) late tonight ahead of a deepening low pressure wave. By tomorrow morning, a rare High Risk of Excessive Rainfall is in effect for Southern California, where widespread 4-7" rainfall totals (locally upwards of 9") is expected over an 18 hour time period. Remember, WPC High Risk days are a BIG DEAL: 80% of all flood related damages and 30% of all flood related fatalities occur in High Risk areas. Users in these areas are encouraged to remain vigilant as landslides, rockfalls, and mudslides are also anticipa
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
333 PM EST Tue Dec 23 2025

Valid 00Z Wed Dec 24 2025 - 00Z Fri Dec 26 2025

...Strong atmospheric river brings heavy rain, snow, and wind to
California through Friday...

...Moderate to heavy snow continues over New England today; freezing rain
possible along the Northern Tier Thursday...

...Unseasonable warmth forecast for much of the Lower 48 through Christmas
Day...

Across the Lower 48, much of our weather pattern remains dominated by an
anomalous upper-ridge anchored over the Nation's Heartland and a highly
amplified trough upstream over the Eastern Pacific. This configuration is
expected to persist through the end of the work week, in turn supporting
dangerous atmospheric river conditions across California through Friday.
To address the heavy rainfall forecast first, the threat of particularly
heavy rainfall is expected to increase over Southern California (including
the Los Angeles metro) late tonight ahead of a deepening low pressure
wave. By tomorrow morning, a rare High Risk of Excessive Rainfall is in
effect for Southern California, where widespread 4-7" rainfall totals
(locally upwards of 9") is expected over an 18 hour time period. Remember,
WPC High Risk days are a BIG DEAL: 80% of all flood related damages and
30% of all flood related fatalities occur in High Risk areas. Users in
these areas are encouraged to remain vigilant as landslides, rockfalls,
and mudslides are also anticipa
Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 333 PM EST Tue Dec 23 2025 Valid 00Z Wed Dec 24 2025 - 00Z Fri Dec 26 2025 ...Strong atmospheric river brings heavy rain, snow, and wind to California through Friday... ...Moderate to heavy snow continues over New England today; freezing rain possible along the Northern Tier Thursday... ...Unseasonable warmth forecast for much of the Lower 48 through Christmas Day... Across the Lower 48, much of our weather pattern remains dominated by an anomalous upper-ridge anchored over the Nation's Heartland and a highly amplified trough upstream over the Eastern Pacific. This configuration is expected to persist through the end of the work week, in turn supporting dangerous atmospheric river conditions across California through Friday. To address the heavy rainfall forecast first, the threat of particularly heavy rainfall is expected to increase over Southern California (including the Los Angeles metro) late tonight ahead of a deepening low pressure wave. By tomorrow morning, a rare High Risk of Excessive Rainfall is in effect for Southern California, where widespread 4-7" rainfall totals (locally upwards of 9") is expected over an 18 hour time period. Remember, WPC High Risk days are a BIG DEAL: 80% of all flood related damages and 30% of all flood related fatalities occur in High Risk areas. Users in these areas are encouraged to remain vigilant as landslides, rockfalls, and mudslides are also anticipa
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
254 AM EST Tue Dec 23 2025

Valid 12Z Tue Dec 23 2025 - 12Z Thu Dec 25 2025

...There is a High Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of Southern
California on Wednesday...

...Moderate to heavy snow over the Northeast...

...Rain/freezing rain possible over the Pennsylvania and Great Lakes...

A system over the Great Lakes to the Central Plains and then northwestward
to the Northern Rockies will move off the Northeast Coast by Tuesday
night. Moisture streaming northward out of the Gulf will aid in developing
rain over parts of the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys and the Mid-Atlantic through
Tuesday afternoon. The rain will then concentrate over the Tennessee
Valley, Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning.

In addition, moderate to heavy snow will develop over the Northeast
Tuesday through Wednesday morning. Furthermore, along the rain/snow line
in Pennsylvania and parts of the Central Appalachians, areas of
rain/freezing rain will develop over the region on Tuesday evening.

By Wednesday evening, a wave of low pressure will develop over parts of
the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley and move eastward into the Ohio
Valley/Central Appalachians by Thursday morning. The system will produce
rain over parts of the Ohio Valley, moving into parts of the Mid-Atlantic
by Christmas morning. Along the northern edge of the precipitation shield,
pockets of rain/freezing rain will develop over parts of the Great Lakes
a
Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 254 AM EST Tue Dec 23 2025 Valid 12Z Tue Dec 23 2025 - 12Z Thu Dec 25 2025 ...There is a High Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of Southern California on Wednesday... ...Moderate to heavy snow over the Northeast... ...Rain/freezing rain possible over the Pennsylvania and Great Lakes... A system over the Great Lakes to the Central Plains and then northwestward to the Northern Rockies will move off the Northeast Coast by Tuesday night. Moisture streaming northward out of the Gulf will aid in developing rain over parts of the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys and the Mid-Atlantic through Tuesday afternoon. The rain will then concentrate over the Tennessee Valley, Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning. In addition, moderate to heavy snow will develop over the Northeast Tuesday through Wednesday morning. Furthermore, along the rain/snow line in Pennsylvania and parts of the Central Appalachians, areas of rain/freezing rain will develop over the region on Tuesday evening. By Wednesday evening, a wave of low pressure will develop over parts of the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley and move eastward into the Ohio Valley/Central Appalachians by Thursday morning. The system will produce rain over parts of the Ohio Valley, moving into parts of the Mid-Atlantic by Christmas morning. Along the northern edge of the precipitation shield, pockets of rain/freezing rain will develop over parts of the Great Lakes a
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
254 AM EST Tue Dec 23 2025

Valid 12Z Tue Dec 23 2025 - 12Z Thu Dec 25 2025

...There is a High Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of Southern
California on Wednesday...

...Moderate to heavy snow over the Northeast...

...Rain/freezing rain possible over the Pennsylvania and Great Lakes...

A system over the Great Lakes to the Central Plains and then northwestward
to the Northern Rockies will move off the Northeast Coast by Tuesday
night. Moisture streaming northward out of the Gulf will aid in developing
rain over parts of the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys and the Mid-Atlantic through
Tuesday afternoon. The rain will then concentrate over the Tennessee
Valley, Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning.

In addition, moderate to heavy snow will develop over the Northeast
Tuesday through Wednesday morning. Furthermore, along the rain/snow line
in Pennsylvania and parts of the Central Appalachians, areas of
rain/freezing rain will develop over the region on Tuesday evening.

By Wednesday evening, a wave of low pressure will develop over parts of
the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley and move eastward into the Ohio
Valley/Central Appalachians by Thursday morning. The system will produce
rain over parts of the Ohio Valley, moving into parts of the Mid-Atlantic
by Christmas morning. Along the northern edge of the precipitation shield,
pockets of rain/freezing rain will develop over parts of the Great Lakes
a
Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 254 AM EST Tue Dec 23 2025 Valid 12Z Tue Dec 23 2025 - 12Z Thu Dec 25 2025 ...There is a High Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of Southern California on Wednesday... ...Moderate to heavy snow over the Northeast... ...Rain/freezing rain possible over the Pennsylvania and Great Lakes... A system over the Great Lakes to the Central Plains and then northwestward to the Northern Rockies will move off the Northeast Coast by Tuesday night. Moisture streaming northward out of the Gulf will aid in developing rain over parts of the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys and the Mid-Atlantic through Tuesday afternoon. The rain will then concentrate over the Tennessee Valley, Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning. In addition, moderate to heavy snow will develop over the Northeast Tuesday through Wednesday morning. Furthermore, along the rain/snow line in Pennsylvania and parts of the Central Appalachians, areas of rain/freezing rain will develop over the region on Tuesday evening. By Wednesday evening, a wave of low pressure will develop over parts of the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley and move eastward into the Ohio Valley/Central Appalachians by Thursday morning. The system will produce rain over parts of the Ohio Valley, moving into parts of the Mid-Atlantic by Christmas morning. Along the northern edge of the precipitation shield, pockets of rain/freezing rain will develop over parts of the Great Lakes a
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
254 AM EST Tue Dec 23 2025

Valid 12Z Tue Dec 23 2025 - 12Z Thu Dec 25 2025

...There is a High Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of Southern
California on Wednesday...

...Moderate to heavy snow over the Northeast...

...Rain/freezing rain possible over the Pennsylvania and Great Lakes...

A system over the Great Lakes to the Central Plains and then northwestward
to the Northern Rockies will move off the Northeast Coast by Tuesday
night. Moisture streaming northward out of the Gulf will aid in developing
rain over parts of the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys and the Mid-Atlantic through
Tuesday afternoon. The rain will then concentrate over the Tennessee
Valley, Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning.

In addition, moderate to heavy snow will develop over the Northeast
Tuesday through Wednesday morning. Furthermore, along the rain/snow line
in Pennsylvania and parts of the Central Appalachians, areas of
rain/freezing rain will develop over the region on Tuesday evening.

By Wednesday evening, a wave of low pressure will develop over parts of
the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley and move eastward into the Ohio
Valley/Central Appalachians by Thursday morning. The system will produce
rain over parts of the Ohio Valley, moving into parts of the Mid-Atlantic
by Christmas morning. Along the northern edge of the precipitation shield,
pockets of rain/freezing rain will develop over parts of the Great Lakes
a
Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 254 AM EST Tue Dec 23 2025 Valid 12Z Tue Dec 23 2025 - 12Z Thu Dec 25 2025 ...There is a High Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of Southern California on Wednesday... ...Moderate to heavy snow over the Northeast... ...Rain/freezing rain possible over the Pennsylvania and Great Lakes... A system over the Great Lakes to the Central Plains and then northwestward to the Northern Rockies will move off the Northeast Coast by Tuesday night. Moisture streaming northward out of the Gulf will aid in developing rain over parts of the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys and the Mid-Atlantic through Tuesday afternoon. The rain will then concentrate over the Tennessee Valley, Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning. In addition, moderate to heavy snow will develop over the Northeast Tuesday through Wednesday morning. Furthermore, along the rain/snow line in Pennsylvania and parts of the Central Appalachians, areas of rain/freezing rain will develop over the region on Tuesday evening. By Wednesday evening, a wave of low pressure will develop over parts of the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley and move eastward into the Ohio Valley/Central Appalachians by Thursday morning. The system will produce rain over parts of the Ohio Valley, moving into parts of the Mid-Atlantic by Christmas morning. Along the northern edge of the precipitation shield, pockets of rain/freezing rain will develop over parts of the Great Lakes a